Published Articles

Recent Joint articles:


  • Homeownership in an Uncertain World with Substantial Transaction Costs, Journal of Regional Science, 47 (5), 2007, 881-896.

  • Bubble, Bubble, Where’s the Housing Bubble?, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2006: 1, 1-50.

  • Is a House a Good Investment?, Journal of Financial Planning, April 2004, p.68-75.

  • Shrunken Earnings Predictions are Better Predictions, with Manfred Keil, Applied Financial Economics, Vol 14, No. 13., September 2004, p.937-943.

    Other articles that have received a good deal of publicity in the past five years:


  • The Nifty-Fifty Re-Revisited, with Jeff Fesenmaier, Journal of Investing, 11, 2002, 86–90.

  • Scared to Death?, British Medical Journal, 325, 2002, 1442-1443.

  • Regression to the Mean in Average Test Scores with Joanna Smith, Educational Assessment Journal, 10, 2005, 377-399.

  • Monogrammic Determinism?, with Stilian Morrison, Psychosomatic Medicine, 67, 2005, 820-824.

  • A Great Company Can be a Great Investment, with Jeff Anderson, Financial Analysts Journal, 62 (4), 2006, 86-93.

  • Measuring and Controlling Shortfall Risk in Retirement, with Donald Gould, Journal of Investing, 16 (1) 2007, 82-95.

  • Shrunken Interest Rate Forecasts are Better Forecasts, with Reid Dorsey-Palmateer, Applied Financial Economics, 17, 2007, 425-430.

  • The Next Best Thing to Knowing Someone Who is Usually Right, with Joseph Steinberg and Robert Wertheimer, Journal of Wealth Management, 9 (3), 2006, 51-60.

  • Would a Stock By Any Other Ticker Smell as Sweet?, with Alex Head and Julia Wilson, Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, forthcoming.